2002 Saxony-Anhalt state election

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Template:Multiple issues

Template:Infobox election The 2002 Saxony-Anhalt state election was held on 21 April 2002 to elect the members of the 4th Landtag of Saxony-Anhalt. The incumbent Social Democratic Party (SPD) minority government led by Minister-President Reinhard Höppner was defeated. The SPD fell to third place, while the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) moved into first. The CDU subsequently formed a coalition with the Free Democratic Party (FDP), and CDU leader Wolfgang Böhmer was elected Minister-President.

Background

After both the 1994 and 1998 state elections, the SPD formed a minority government with the external support of the Party of Democratic Socialism (PDS). This marked the first time the PDS had been involved in determining government in a German state, and was a unique arrangement, dubbed the "Magdeburg model" after the capital of Saxony-Anhalt. In Germany, governments are typically coalition governments, in which the parties which support the government take part in cabinet and hold a majority of seats between them. However, the SPD/PDS arrangement functioned on a model of "tolerance", in which the PDS remained outside cabinet and abstained from the vote for Minister-President, rather than voting in favour, allowing the SPD to form a minority government. In 1994, this allowed the investment of an SPD–Green minority government; in 1998, after the Greens lost their Landtag representation, the SPD governed alone.

Campaign and issues

At the time, Saxony-Anhalt was the "poorest" state of Germany, and that with the highest unemployment rate. The state election campaign was also influenced by the upcoming federal election.

The German People's Union, which won 12.9% of the vote and 12 seats in 1998, did not run in the election. This came after internal strife and the secession of the Freedom and Democracy People's Party (FDVP), which did run in the election.

Parties

The table below lists parties represented in the 3rd Landtag of Saxony-Anhalt.

Name Ideology Leader(s) 1998 result
Votes (%) Seats
bgcolor=Template:Party color | SPD Social Democratic Party of Germany
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Social democracy Reinhard Höppner 35.9% Template:Composition bar
bgcolor=Template:Party color | CDU Christian Democratic Union of Germany
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Christian democracy Wolfgang Böhmer 22.0% Template:Composition bar
bgcolor=Template:Party color | PDS Party of Democratic Socialism
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Democratic socialism 19.6% Template:Composition bar
bgcolor=Template:Party color | DVU German People's Union
Template:Small
German nationalism 12.9% Template:Composition bar

Opinion polling

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
SPD CDU PDS DVU FDP Grüne Schill Others Lead
style="background:Template:Party color;"| style="background:Template:Party color;"| style="background:Template:Party color;"| style="background:Template:Party color;"| style="background:Template:Party color;"| style="background:Template:Party color;"|
2002 state election 21 Apr 2002 20.0 37.3 20.4 13.3 2.0 4.5 2.6 style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 16.9
Forsa 19 Apr 2002 ? 24 34 22 10 2 6 2 style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 10
Infratest dimap 5–9 Apr 2002 1,000 25 32 23 9 2 5 4 style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 7
Emnid 28 Mar 2002 ? 24 33 26 8 2 5 2 style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 15 Mar 2002 ? 28 36 19 7 3 4 3 style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 8
Infratest dimap 21–26 Feb 2002 1,000 30 35 20 7 2 4 2 style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 5
IfM Leipzig 25 Feb 2002 ? 31 39 19 6 2 2 1 style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 8
Forsa 24 Jan 2002 ? 25 37 25 7 2 2 2 style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 12
Uni Halle 17 Jan 2002 ? 29.3 40.6 19.3 6.7 2.1 1.8 0.2 style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 11.3
Infratest dimap 11–16 Dec 2001 1,000 31 35 20 2 5 2 3 2 style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 4
Uni Halle 28 Aug 2001 ? 37.4 33.0 18.3 7.5 3.0 0.8 style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 4.4
1998 state election 26 Apr 1998 35.9 22.0 19.6 12.9 4.2 3.2 2.2 style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 13.9

Election result

Template:Election table |- ! colspan="2" | Party ! Votes ! % ! +/- ! Seats ! +/- ! Seats % |- | bgcolor=Template:Party color| | align=left | Christian Democratic Union (CDU) | align=right| 433,521 | align=right| 37.3 | align=right| Template:Increase15.3 | align=right| 48 | align=right| Template:Increase20 | align=right| 41.7 |- | bgcolor=Template:Party color| | align=left | Party of Democratic Socialism (PDS) | align=right| 236,484 | align=right| 20.4 | align=right| Template:Increase0.8 | align=right| 25 | align=right| Template:Steady0 | align=right| 21.7 |- | bgcolor=Template:Party color| | align=left | Social Democratic Party (SPD) | align=right| 231,732 | align=right| 20.0 | align=right| Template:Decrease15.9 | align=right| 25 | align=right| Template:Decrease22 | align=right| 21.7 |- | bgcolor=Template:Party color| | align=left | Free Democratic Party (FDP) | align=right| 154,145 | align=right| 13.3 | align=right| Template:Increase9.1 | align=right| 17 | align=right| Template:Increase17 | align=right| 14.8 |- ! colspan=8| |- | bgcolor=#63B8FF| | align=left | Party for a Rule of Law Offensive (Schill party) | align=right| 52,589 | align=right| 4.5 | align=right| New | align=right| 0 | align=right| New | align=right| 0 |- | bgcolor=Template:Party color| | align=left | Alliance 90/The Greens (Grüne) | align=right| 22,696 | align=right| 2.0 | align=right| Template:Decrease1.2 | align=right| 0 | align=right| ±0 | align=right| 0 |- | bgcolor=Template:Party color| | align=left | Others | align=right| 29,818 | align=right| 2.6 | align=right| | align=right| 0 | align=right| ±0 | align=right| 0 |- ! align=right colspan=2| Total ! align=right| 1,160,985 ! align=right| 100.0 ! align=right| ! align=right| 115 ! align=right| Template:Decrease1 ! align=right| |- ! align=right colspan=2| Voter turnout ! align=right| ! align=right| 56.5 ! align=right| Template:Decrease15.0 ! align=right| ! align=right| ! align=right| |} Template:Bar box Template:Bar box

Outcome

The SPD suffered a major defeat, falling to third place behind both the CDU and PDS. The CDU became the largest party with 37% of the vote. The FDP achieved an unexpected victory with 13% of the vote. The Party for a Rule of Law Offensive (Schill party) failed to win seats, despite polling suggesting they would narrowly enter the Landtag.

While polls before the election indicated the SPD and PDS would likely retain a slim majority, the success of the FDP at the SPD's expense meant that the CDU and FDP held a comfortable majority between them. Thus, the PDS-backed SPD government no longer had the numbers to retain power. The CDU and FDP negotiated a coalition, with CDU leader Wolfgang Böhmer heading the new government.

The election, which took place five months before the 2002 federal election, was a major defeat for the federal SPD–Green government, and weakened its standing in the Bundesrat.

Sources

Template:Saxony-Anhalt state elections