2004 Hamburg state election
Template:Short description Template:Infobox election The 2004 Hamburg state election was held on 29 February 2004 to elect the members of the 18th Hamburg Parliament. The election was triggered by the collapse of the coalition government between the Christian Democratic Union (CDU), Party for a Rule of Law Offensive (PRO), and Free Democratic Party (FDP). The election saw a collapse in support for PRO which had split after its leader Ronald Schill left in 2003. The original party and Schill's new party captured 3.5% of the vote between them, down from 19.4% in 2001. A huge amount of support flowed to the CDU, which won 63 of the 121 seats in Parliament, forming a majority government. First Mayor Ole von Beust continued in office.<ref name=welle2008>Template:Citation</ref>
Parties
The table below lists parties represented in the 17th Hamburg Parliament.
| Name | Ideology | Leader(s) | 2001 result | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes (%) | Seats | |||||
| bgcolor=Template:Party color | | SPD | Social Democratic Party of Germany Template:Small |
Social democracy | Thomas Mirow | 36.5% | Template:Composition bar |
| bgcolor=Template:Party color | | CDU | Christian Democratic Union of Germany Template:Small |
Christian democracy | Ole von Beust | 26.2% | Template:Composition bar |
| bgcolor=Template:Party color | | PRO | Party for a Rule of Law Offensive Template:Small |
Right-wing populism | Mario Mettbach | 19.4% | Template:Composition bar |
| bgcolor=Template:Party color | | GAL | Green Alternative List Template:Small |
Green politics | 8.6% | Template:Composition bar | |
| bgcolor=Template:Party color | | FDP | Free Democratic Party Template:Small |
Classical liberalism | 5.1% | Template:Composition bar | |
Background
In August 2003, Mayor von Beust made moves to dismiss an Interior official suspected of corruption. In response, Senator of the Interior Ronald Schill threatened to spread rumours of an affair between von Beust and the Senator of Justice. Schill was subsequently dismissed from the government. In December of the same year, Schill left his own party along with five of its members of Parliament, depriving the government of its majority. He subsequently joined Pro DM.<ref name=bbc2008>{{#invoke:citation/CS1|citation |CitationClass=web }}</ref>
Opinion polling
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
SPD | CDU | PRO | GAL | FDP | ProDM | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| style="background:Template:Party color;"| | style="background:Template:Party color;"| | style="background:Template:Party color;"| | style="background:Template:Party color;"| | style="background:Template:Party color;"| | ||||||
| 2004 state election | 29 Feb 2004 | – | 30.5 | Template:Party shading/CDU| 47.2 | 0.4 | 12.3 | 2.8 | 3.1 | 3.7 | style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 16.7 |
| Emnid | 20–26 Feb 2004 | 1,009 | 30 | Template:Party shading/CDU| 44 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 3 | style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 14 |
| Emnid | 24 Feb 2004 | 1,000 | 30 | Template:Party shading/CDU| 46 | 1 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 4 | style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 16 |
| Forsa | 18–23 Feb 2004 | 1,005 | 29 | Template:Party shading/CDU| 45 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 4 | style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 16 |
| Psephos | 19–22 Feb 2004 | 1,003 | 30 | Template:Party shading/CDU| 46 | 1 | 12 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 4 | style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 16 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 16–19 Feb 2004 | 1,008 | 29 | Template:Party shading/CDU| 47 | – | 13 | 4 | 3 | 4 | style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 18 |
| Infratest dimap | 12–16 Feb 2004 | 1,000 | 29 | Template:Party shading/CDU| 45 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 3 | style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 16 |
| Forsa | 10–14 Feb 2004 | 1,002 | 30 | Template:Party shading/CDU| 45 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 3 | style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 15 |
| Forsa | 6–9 Feb 2004 | 804 | 29 | Template:Party shading/CDU| 46 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 3 | style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 17 |
| Infratest dimap | 28 Jan–1 Feb 2004 | 1,000 | 30 | Template:Party shading/CDU| 45 | 1 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 3 | style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 15 |
| Forsa | 20–24 Jan 2004 | 1,001 | 28 | Template:Party shading/CDU| 48 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 3 | style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 20 |
| Emnid | 19 Jan 2004 | 1,000 | 31 | Template:Party shading/CDU| 46 | 2 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 3 | style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 15 |
| Infratest dimap | 8–12 Jan 2004 | 1,000 | 30 | Template:Party shading/CDU| 45 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 3 | style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 15 |
| Psephos | 9 Jan 2004 | 1,002 | 30 | Template:Party shading/CDU| 47 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 4 | style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 17 |
| Forsa | 17 Dec 2003 | ? | 31 | Template:Party shading/CDU| 46 | 3 | 13 | 4 | – | 3 | style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 15 |
| Infratest | 10–11 Dec 2003 | 1,000 | 33 | Template:Party shading/CDU| 43 | 4 | 12 | 4 | – | 4 | style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 10 |
| Emnid | 10 Dec 2003 | 1,000 | 37 | Template:Party shading/CDU| 43 | 2 | 12 | 4 | – | 2 | style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 6 |
| Psephos | 9–10 Dec 2003 | 808 | 36 | Template:Party shading/CDU| 41 | 5 | 11 | 3 | – | 4 | style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 5 |
| Infratest dimap | 8–9 Dec 2003 | 1,000 | 35 | Template:Party shading/CDU| 40 | 5 | 13 | 4 | – | 3 | style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 5 |
| Emnid | 2–3 Dec 2003 | 1,000 | 35 | Template:Party shading/CDU| 41 | 5 | 13 | 3 | – | 3 | style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 6 |
| Psephos | 10 Oct 2003 | ? | 37 | Template:Party shading/CDU| 39 | 6 | 10 | 4 | – | 4 | style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 2 |
| Infratest dimap | 5–9 Sep 2003 | 1,000 | 36 | Template:Party shading/CDU| 39 | 5 | 13 | 4 | – | 3 | style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 3 |
| Psephos | 23 Aug 2003 | 731 | 36 | Template:Party shading/CDU| 40 | 6 | 10 | 5 | – | 3 | style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 4 |
| NFO Infratest | 20–21 Aug 2003 | ~1,000 | 37 | Template:Party shading/CDU| 40 | 5 | 11 | 4 | – | 3 | style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 3 |
| Emnid | 20 Aug 2003 | 1,002 | 35 | Template:Party shading/CDU| 38 | 6 | 13 | 5 | – | 3 | style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 3 |
| Emnid | 4–5 Feb 2003 | 1,000 | 26 | Template:Party shading/CDU| 42 | 12 | 13 | 5 | – | 2 | style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 16 |
| Psephos | 25 Oct 2002 | 1,003 | Template:Party shading/SPD| 36 | 34 | 8 | 13 | 5 | – | 4 | style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 2 |
| Emnid | 7 Feb 2002 | ? | Template:Party shading/SPD| 37 | 32 | 12 | 9 | 6 | – | 4 | style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 5 |
| Emnid | 2–4 Feb 2002 | 1,008 | Template:Party shading/SPD| 40 | 32 | 10 | 11 | 4 | – | 3 | style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 8 |
| Psephos | 2 Feb 2002 | 1,003 | Template:Party shading/SPD| 36 | 32 | 14 | 9 | 5 | – | 4 | style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 4 |
| Forsa | 22–23 Jan 2002 | 1,001 | Template:Party shading/SPD| 35 | 31 | 15 | 10 | 4 | – | 5 | style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 4 |
| 2001 state election | 23 Sep 2001 | – | Template:Party shading/SPD| 36.5 | 26.2 | 19.4 | 8.6 | 5.1 | 0.2 | 4.0 | style="background:Template:Party color;color:#FFFFFF;"| 10.3 |
Election result
Template:Election table |- ! colspan="2" | Party ! Votes ! % ! +/- ! Seats ! +/- ! Seats % |- | bgcolor=Template:Party color| | align=left | Christian Democratic Union (CDU) | align=right| 389,170 | align=right| 47.2 | align=right| Template:Increase21.0 | align=right| 63 | align=right| Template:Increase30 | align=right| 52.1 |- | bgcolor=Template:Party color| | align=left | Social Democratic Party (SPD) | align=right| 251,441 | align=right| 30.5 | align=right| Template:Decrease6.0 | align=right| 41 | align=right| Template:Decrease5 | align=right| 33.9 |- | bgcolor=Template:Party color| | align=left | Green Alternative List (GAL) | align=right| 101,227 | align=right| 12.3 | align=right| Template:Increase3.7 | align=right| 17 | align=right| Template:Increase6 | align=right| 14.0 |- ! colspan=8| |- | | align=left | Pro Deutsche Mitte – Initiative Pro D-Mark (Pro DM) | align=right| 25,763 | align=right| 3.1 | align=right| Template:Increase2.9 | align=right| 0 | align=right| ±0 | align=right| 0 |- | bgcolor=Template:Party color| | align=left | Free Democratic Party (FDP) | align=right| 23,373 | align=right| 2.8 | align=right| Template:Decrease2.3 | align=right| 0 | align=right| Template:Decrease6 | align=right| 0 |- | bgcolor=#2E8B57| | align=left | Rainbow – For a new left (REGENBOGEN) | align=right| 9,200 | align=right| 1.1 | align=right| Template:Decrease0.6 | align=right| 0 | align=right| ±0 | align=right| 0 |- | bgcolor=grey| | align=left | The Grays – Gray Panthers (GRAUEN) | align=right| 8,878 | align=right| 1.1 | align=right| Template:Increase1.1 | align=right| 0 | align=right| ±0 | align=right| 0 |- | bgcolor=Template:Party color| | align=left | Others | align=right| 15,265 | align=right| 1.9 | align=right| | align=right| 0 | align=right| Template:Decrease25 | align=right| 0 |- ! align=right colspan=2| Total ! align=right| 824,317 ! align=right| 100.0 ! align=right| ! align=right| 121 ! align=right| ±0 ! align=right| |- ! align=right colspan=2| Voter turnout ! align=right| ! align=right| 68.7 ! align=right| Template:Decrease2.4 ! align=right| ! align=right| ! align=right| |} Template:Bar box Template:Bar box